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Alexander Bird (King’s College, London), Understanding the Replication Crisis as a Base Rate Fallacy

Bordeaux Pellegrin Hospital, Rheumatology Service, 12th floor Place Amélie Raba Léon, Bordeaux

Abstract The replication (replicability, reproducibility) crisis in social psychology and clinical medicine arises from the fact that many apparently well-confirmed ex- perimental results are subsequently overturned by studies that aim …